Oil Spill Drift Forecast
Based on satellite imagery, wind fields, and ocean-current data from 7, 9, and 11 August, oil-spill modelling was conducted for 11–13 August. The results show that surface oil was transported northeastward along Oman’s eastern nearshore waters, with the slick becoming increasingly elongated and dispersed. By the evening of 13 August, the slick’s leading edge may reach approximately 59.2°E, 20.1°N. Relatively high oil-particle concentrations may persist within 57.8°E–58.1°E and 18.7°N–19.1°N, which should be prioritized for marine monitoring and emergency surveillance.
Oil-particle numbers decreased in the southern area, but the pollution risk remains. Some oil may have stranded, undergone natural weathering, or moved beyond the model domain. The environmental authority should continue monitoring wind, currents, and in-situ observations, focusing on sensitive areas along eastern Oman and farther northeast, and adjust containment, surveillance, and shoreline protection measures accordingly.
Note: These are model-based projections. Actual oil distribution should be verified through satellite remote sensing, marine surveillance, and shoreline surveys.